June Swenson #fundie

June Swenson #fundie blog.abstinence.net

[Pro-abstinence blog]

When you play with fire, there is a 50/50 chance something will go wrong, and nine times out of ten it does.

216 comments

old comment by Mr. Creazil

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old comment by dg

wtf?

This is one of the reasons I can't bear a lot of pro-abstinence types. There really is a LOT to be said for waiting ... but these people make it look so stupid.

@tracer: No, at least most of the teens who are pro-abstinence are serious. I live in a very conservative area ... I went to HS with a bunch of people who talked about it, and I knew some of them well enough to know that they meant it.

As a "young adult" myself, I have to say that the appeal of this stuff is obvious. AIDS etc. are *frightening*, and it's true - trivially- that if everyone waited till marriage and was monogamous, those things would die out. The problem is that you'll never get everyone to agree to do that... it's human nature.

old comment by katie5000

Wait a minute; lemme break this down.

When you play with fire, there is a 50/50 chance that something will go wrong,

So "playing with fire" has two possible outcomes, each of which has an equal chance of occurring. One is bad, and one is good. Put another way, both "bad" and "good" are each 1 out of 2 total possibilities, or 1/2. Now...

...and nine times out of ten [9/10] it does.

If the "playing with fire" events are each treated as individual, independent events with random outcomes that don't affect the outcomes of any other "playing with fire" event, then "playing with fire" ten times and having nine of those ten events come up "bad" would actually be rather uncommon. Getting nine "bads" in a row would have a likelihood of 1/2^9, or 1/512.

June Swenson #fundie blog.abstinence.net

216 comments

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