Why I'm (still) betting big on Donald Trump to win
Every mainstream media outlet in the country keeps saying Trump is losing badly. They say this as if it’s fact. And based on many polls, it does look that way.
But so did Brexit. That was the vote for UK to leave the EU. No one anywhere in the establishment or media or any major politician thought it would pass.
But it did.
I believe this is our Brexit. And I’m putting my money where my mouth is. I’m betting big on Donald Trump to win the election. Here’s why.
I had the honor of attending the presidential debate as a guest of Donald Trump in my adopted hometown of Las Vegas.
My day began with a taste of what the Washington establishment and so-called “experts” think of the race. I was a guest on “Fox & Friends.” On one side of me was a Democrat political strategist from D.C. predicting a Clinton victory. On the other side was a Republican strategist from Washington predicting a Clinton victory. Both felt the presidential race was already over and Clinton could be headied for a landslide victory. That’s the thinking from Washington.
Which is fascinating. I call it “group think." Both of these political gurus would probably lose a ton of income if Trump wins. I guarantee they both hang out with all the same kind of establishment people go to the same parties read the same newspapers study the same biased polls that oversample Democrats. No wonder they come to the same conclusions.
But they are not alone. Every time I turn on any TV or radio station, all I hear is predictions of doom and gloom for Trump. The national media seems to have already printed the headline, “Dewey Beats Truman.” You remember how that ended.
Yes, I understand why they think Trump is finished. Most of the national polls show Donald behind by 4 to 12 points. But didn’t all the experts and pollsters predict Trump’s demise every step of the way during the GOP primaries too? I’ve predicted his success since day one -- starting right here at Fox News on the day he declared for president.
More importantly, why is the media ignoring the polls predicting Trump is in the lead? I'm betting you've never heard a word about these polls in the media.
Rasmussen has Trump up by 43-41 percent.
USC/LA Times has Trump up by 1 point.
And most importantly, the most accurate poll of the 2012 election, IBD/TIPP has Trump up 43 to 41 percent.
Funny how the mainstream media doesn’t mention these polls.
But there are many signs this year is different and pollsters cannot accurately measure the direction of the electorate.
Trump attracts 10,000 or more crazed fans to his events. Hillary attracts 200 to 500. And most of those attendees are Democrat Party employees or union hacks paid to be there! The exact number since August 1 is 561,000 for Trump events vs 31,000 for Hillary events.
Hillary can’t even sell her new book. As of this moment, it’s #5,568 at Amazon. It’s brand new. It’s written by the most high-profile woman in the world. She has had an audience of over 60 million watching each of the past three presidential debates. Yet no one is buying her book.
The signs are everywhere. Literally.
My best friend’s wife drove this weekend from DC to Florida. She saw hundreds of Trump signs on lawns, on barns, on highway overpasses. She saw one Gary Johnson sign. But there wasn’t one Hillary sign. Not one.
Then there’s the dramatic drop in NFL ratings. My friends are all NFL fans. This is due to the anger of the people I wrote about in my new book “ANGRY WHITE MALE.” This is the same "Silent Majority" who are boycotting the NFL over disrespect for the flag by NFL players.
This is "the Trump effect" at work. My friends are angry and motivated. The media just doesn’t understand what’s happening on Main Street.
Then there’s the kind of polls I trust. My friend is a Vegas cab driver. She starts every new ride with this conversation opener, “Welcome to Vegas. Now let’s talk about the election. Who are you voting for?” In the privacy of her cab, with no one watching or judging, every single passenger in the past two weeks has whispered “TRUMP.” Yes, all of them.
So what gives? I’ve predicted this in the media for three months now. This is our Brexit. None of the experts saw Brexit coming. Only the people on Main Street knew.
Here’s some facts to back up my contention. William Hill, one of the largest legal bookmakers in the world, warned days ago that the betting patterns of this election look exactly like Brexit.
All the big bets they’ve taken are on Clinton. They report 71 percent of the money is on Hillary. Just like Brexit.
But 65 percent of the actual bets are on Trump. The little guys are all betting on Trump. Guess who determines the outcome of elections? The little guys. They’re betting their $5 and $10 on Trump. Just like Brexit.
I’ll take the Vegas cab driver’s poll over the fancy D.C. pollsters any day.
I’ll take the betting patterns at legal bookmakers.
I’ll take the sign of a massive drop in NFL ratings.
I’ll take the size of the crowds at Trump rallies.
I’ll take the signs along the road for Trump vs none for Hillary.
The signs are all there. Something is happening that the DC experts and mainstream media can’t see, or understand. Or maybe they just don't want to.
This is our Brexit. And I’m betting big on Trump.