These assbags are as bad with probability as they are with discerning the difference between living and nonliving.
One more time! The probability of an event, which has already happened, is 1-1.
The odds of the Earth forming? 1-1
The odds of life being on Earth? 1-1
The odds of humans being the current, dominant, sentient life form? 1-1
In fact. Let us assume that a coin has landed "heads up" 100 times in a row. The probability of that past event is 1-1. However, the probability of the next flip being heads is 1-2, same as tails. Probability does not change over numerous flips or great expanses of time. The probability of the event is the same every time.
Now, the probability that VFX will ever manage to pull his head out of his ass is astronomically small. In fact, my computer can't handle the computations. But, my primitive calculations indicate that it's substantially less probable than every living person being Raptured three weeks ago and failing to notice.
BTW. If one wants to figure the probability of how something happened? That's a different story. In the case of weighing natural vs supernatural one would have to observe both natural and supernatural processes.
Since every reliably reported object/event has a natural cause. The probability is 1-1.
Since the number of confirmed interactions with deities is zero divided by the age of the universe? The probability of God's existence is zero.
Now that's what I call "very, very, impossible".
