I’m not going to take away the badly needed hope that millions of Venezuelans must be feeling. Their country has been in the midst of a surreal disaster since Chavez’s first election, which was legitimate and fair (not so for Maduro’s latest). Though an ostensible leftist they followed the fascist playbook to the letter, corrupted and hollowed out every institution in their nation and bled it dry, I’m sure they’re feeling a mix of emotions today about the future and have every right to. There is likely plenty of incriminating evidence in Maduro that something will stick, though I’d rather he be tried by his Venezuelan peers not the United States.
For me, a non Venezuelan, there is nothing to celebrate. We’ve seen this script before, unilateral intervention like this rarely leads to long term stability and guys like Maduro have learned to leave behind “insurance policies”. We’ve also likely burned many vital bridges and potential partnerships in the region thanks to this act. It is unlikely, given the Trump regime’s views on democracy that the next leader will be one to restore democracy there. He’ll just be the right wing autocratic mirror of the previous regime. We may have opened a can of worms that will not be cleaned for a lifetime or more.
I won’t tell Venezuelans not to rejoice, they deserve it. But I don’t have to join them.